Okay I’m not a 100% outsider. Still since I just
recently declared myself Marvel free a little while ago maybe I can claim an
outsider status. So I finally jump ship and then I read the BIG news out of
Marvel. It made me sick to my stomach. All New All Different WE Want All Your
Money Marvel. At least Marvel has made my decision to zero out any books from
them a lot easier and they even cancelled the only title I was getting from them
with issue #8 I believe (the Lemire written Hawkeye).
So the All New All Different Marvel Universe is
talking about launching around 60 new #1 issues. It all starts after the end of
Secret Wars and has an eight month time jump. A total reboot, right? No, not at
all. Alex Alonso, Marvel’s Editor in
Chief, states “This is not a reboot. We are not
erasing our history, or throwing away any old stories; we are building on our
history. The Marvel Universe that greets readers in "All-New,
All-Different Marvel" is going to be the Marvel Universe that you know and
love -- and recognize -- but it's also going to include some new stuff -- new
characters, new places, new things, new artifacts of great importance -- that
should make it even more interesting.” Good try Mr. Alonso, good try.
Marvel is desperately trying to do a
re-launch of their entire line up of comics, as DC did a few years back. They
are also trying to avoid the calamity that befell DC as DC threw away the
legacy aspect of the DCU. A major strength of DC was flushed down the toilet in
a grab to shake things up. Change just to change is never a good idea. Marvel
is being smart by campaigning that even though Secret Wars will have an impact
on some characters and may make some continuity changes they are not wiping out
their history. Yes the All New All Different Marvel Universe is all bright
shining and new, but it is still the same Marvel Universe you love. Selling
these two points at the same time is creating some of the greatest cognitive
dissonance in comic book history. Yes Bruce Banner is now Catilyn Banner, but
she is still the Hulk. Yes Old Man Logan is now in present day, but he is still
the original Wolverine. Yes Iron Man is now Pepper Potts, but she is still the
armored Avenger. It is a clever marketing ploy, but one, that for me, is a
stinking heap of cow dung.
Where
all this becomes egregious is when you realize what type of impact this will
have on the actual business of selling comics to the fan base that still
exists. First and foremost you are making comic books stores bet the house. My
guess is there will be some heavy promotion discounts if you order enough books.
My worry for the retailers is there will not be returns allowed. If, as I suspect, most of these #1s are $5
price points that means an increased risk for a retailer. Granted there is
increased reward in more profit. Still many stores are small operations that
could go under with a few bad months or even one bad month. If a retailer
orders 100 issues of every new number one (use 60) that is an investment (at
50% discount) of $15,000. Meaning to just break even on his invoice from Marvel
he will need to move 3,000 books. Too often a retailer will get caught up in
the hype from Marvel and not look at their overall sales to realize those type
of numbers have never happened for their store; so why should it happen now.
Another hidden cost of this type of launch is unsold copies of books from other
companies. If a customer can only spend $50 and goes all Marvel, that means
anything else he was normally buying goes unsold on the retailer’s shelf. It is
a dangerous game that the retailer has to play and I hope Marvel gives support
in the way of a return program of some sort.
The
other retailer problem is how you order for a new #1 issue of a comic. Maybe a
book like the All New All Different Spider-Man you can base on sales of the
prior ASM books, but the All New All Different Red Wolf (or whatever) is a
major crap shoot. Of course Marvel will push as hard as they can to make fans
feel like they have to try all the titles and the first couple months could be
a great success. The problem is having a new toy immediately ends the next day
as it is no longer new. I’m sure there will be variant covers all over the
place and the “rare” ones will be on Ebay as soon as the store gets them from
Diamond or even before as a pre-order. As an ex-retailer the idea of relying on
Ebay to make my store profitable is a scary proposition. If my store is stable
and doing well, Ebay as supplemental income is great, as a source to make it work,
it is like going to Vegas. Remember only the winners’ brag about how they did. When
the speculators wake up and realize they have wasted their money that variant
market could disappear in a heartbeat. None of this is made easier when DC has
just crapped out 24 new #1s or something close to it and Image is rolling out
#1s like hotcakes at an IHOP. Strong stores will survive and many will even
thrive, the smaller stores are going to possibly go under trying to guess what
to order. It can be just as deadly to not have the book your customers want as
it is to have too many.
Of
course there is the actual fans themselves. Now a fool and his money is soon
parted, so Marvel is hoping to find around 50,000 fools per book would be my
guess. Marvel has always pushed the price point of books depending on the
inelasticity of demand that comic books have often demonstrated. If Marvel
moves all of their books to five dollars, even for just the first issue, I
think that could be the final straw. For me the five dollar price point is the
line in the sand, we will only go this far and no further and other statements
to that effect. The supposed inflation rate over the last few years has been
relatively insignificant if you believe government reporting. Even if you don’t
a jump from $4 to $5 is a 25% increase in price. For $11 bucks or less I can
see a 2 hour movie, buy two on demand movies and purchase at least one digital
book. All of these alternatives give me way more than the maximum 10 or 15
minutes entertainment that two comic books may give me. The bang for the buck
is not there when a comic cost $5. Sure you might be able to re-sell some of
the books on Ebay or elsewhere, but that is just normally recouping some of
your cost and never a guarantee. Also I believe there is only a certain level
of spending that the fans will make towards comic books. So any success that
Marvel has could well come via reduction of sales for other companies. Let’s
face it that is what competition is all about. It may seem unfair, but it is
the nature of the beast. The stores have to invest in Marvel for fear of
missing out and therefore may order less of other books in some cases. That means
that the books from other companies will not be on the stands. Of course an
aggressive play by another publisher to push lower discounts on their books
while the re-launch of Marvel happens could offset that disadvantage.
Sadly
Marvel seems to have an unshakeable hold on the market and they can generate
excitement for the All Retread All Marketing Ploy Marvel Comics Now. I’m just
glad to be out of the picture and have no desire to jump back in. I guess the
fan base is recycling faster than ever. Personally I would find it hard to
truly get invested in a character who is going to be reset every year or two or
gendered or race swapped at the drop of a hat. New times, new market, it will
be interesting to watch from the sidelines.